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Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

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Education Center / Day Trading / Strategy / Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

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Lesson Videos

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

level Level: Beginner

level Experienced Instructor

About This Lesson

Enter a long position after an initial sell-off below VWAP, with confirmation of a bottom forming below VWAP and a subsequent hold above VWAP. This setup indicates a potential continuation higher, offering multiple opportunities for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.

Downloads

  • VWAP Bounce and Break PDF
  • TradeBook: VWAP Bounce and Break

Presented by

Brendon Dileo

Brendon, originally from the East Coast, transitioned to full-time day trading in 2022 after joining Bear Bull Traders in 2017. A former business analyst on Wall Street, he values support systems and enjoys weight training, spicy foods, and international travel, often accompanied by his wife, Ellie, and their parrot, Baby.

Brendon Dileo's Recent Webinars

Atlas Mentorship 30 Apr. 26 – Brendon

Strategy 3: VWAP Bounce and Break

Strategy 3: VWAP Bounce and Break

Atlas Mentorship 23 Apr. 26 – Brendon

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

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Download a copy of the presentation in PDF format here.

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Available research data suggests that most day traders are NOT profitable.

The Profitability of Day Trading: What Research Tells Us A growing body of academic research suggests that the majority of individuals who engage in day trading do not achieve consistent profitability.

In a comprehensive 2014 study titled “Do Day Traders Rationally Learn About Their Ability?”, researchers from the University of California analyzed an extensive dataset comprising 3.7 billion trades executed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. Their findings revealed that only 9.81% of day trading volume could be attributed to traders who demonstrated repeatable, predictable profitability. Furthermore, these consistently profitable traders represented less than 3% of all active participants on any given trading day.

A separate study published in the Journal of Applied Finance in 2005, titled “The Profitability of Active Stock Traders”, examined 1,146 U.S.-based brokerage accounts that actively traded equities between March and June 2000. The researchers, affiliated with the University of Oxford and University College Dublin, found that only 50% of traders generated a profit during that period, with the average net gain being $16,619.

Similarly, a 2003 study published in the Financial Analysts Journal, “The Profitability of Day Traders”, reviewed 334 active trading accounts from February 1998 to October 1999. In that sample, only 35% of accounts were profitable, and a mere 14% earned profits exceeding $10,000.

These studies collectively demonstrate the substantial difficulty of achieving long-term success in day trading. While methodologies and market conditions varied, the overall trend remains clear: a significant portion of retail traders fail to generate consistent profits. At minimum, the data implies that at least half of all day traders are unlikely to be profitable, and in many cases, the percentage is considerably lower.

These findings underscore the reality that day trading is a highly speculative and risky activity. Participants should be fully aware that trading can result in significant financial losses, including the total loss of invested capital.

The content provided is intended for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. Any mention of a specific security or market should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. All investments and trades carry risk, and decisions should be made with care and, where appropriate, with guidance from a licensed financial professional.

For full legal details, please refer to our complete disclaimer here.

Citations:

Barber, Brad; Lee, Yong-Ill; Liu, Yu-Jane; Odean, Terrance. (2014). Do Day Traders Rationally Learn About Their Ability? SSRN Electronic Journal. SSRN Electronic Journal

Garvey, Ryan; Murphy, Anthony. (2005). The Profitability of Active Stock Traders. Journal of Applied Finance, Vol. 15, No. 2. The Profitability of Active Stock Traders

Jordan, Douglas J.; Diltz, J. David. (2003). The Profitability of Day Traders. Financial Analysts Journal, 59(6), 85–94. The Profitability of Day Traders

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

| Published: 02/3/25

Education Center / Day Trading / Strategy / Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

Login or Sign up or Upgrade

Lesson Videos

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

level Level: Beginner

level Experienced Instructor

About This Lesson

Enter a long position after an initial sell-off below VWAP, with confirmation of a bottom forming below VWAP and a subsequent hold above VWAP. This setup indicates a potential continuation higher, offering multiple opportunities for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.

Downloads

  • VWAP Bounce and Break PDF
  • TradeBook: VWAP Bounce and Break

Presented by

Brendon Dileo

Brendon, originally from the East Coast, transitioned to full-time day trading in 2022 after joining Bear Bull Traders in 2017. A former business analyst on Wall Street, he values support systems and enjoys weight training, spicy foods, and international travel, often accompanied by his wife, Ellie, and their parrot, Baby.

Brendon Dileo's Recent Webinars

Atlas Mentorship 30 Apr. 26 – Brendon

Strategy 3: VWAP Bounce and Break

Strategy 3: VWAP Bounce and Break

Atlas Mentorship 23 Apr. 26 – Brendon

Strategy 19: VWAP Bounce and Break

promo

Download a copy of the presentation in PDF format here.

Lesson Content
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Previous Topic
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