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Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

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Education Center / Day Trading / Strategy / Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

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Lesson Videos

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

level Level: Intermediate

level Experienced Instructor

About This Lesson

The Lightning Bolt is a trend continuation pattern where the price breaks through VWAP, retraces, and then resumes in the original direction. This pattern indicates strong momentum and can signal a continuation of the existing trend.

Downloads

  • Lightning Bolt Strategy PDF
  • TradeBook: Lightning Bolt Strategy

Presented by

Peter Donnelly

Peter, with over 25 years of experience in global business and IT, trades full-time and moderates at Bear Bull Traders, joining in 2017 after reading Andrew’s first book. Outside of trading, he's active in mental health causes, enjoys adventure sports, and has been happily married for 26 years with three grown children.

Peter Donnelly's Recent Webinars

TradeBook: Using Volume Price Analysis to Make Smarter Trading Decisions – Brendon

TradeBook: The 1-to-10 Strategy: Structuring Trades for Maximum Risk-to-Reward at the Close – Peter

Strategy 12: Failed High of Day Breakouts

Strategy 10: 1 to 10 Strategy

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

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Download a copy of the presentation in PDF format here.

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Available research data suggests that most day traders are NOT profitable.

The Profitability of Day Trading: What Research Tells Us A growing body of academic research suggests that the majority of individuals who engage in day trading do not achieve consistent profitability.

In a comprehensive 2014 study titled “Do Day Traders Rationally Learn About Their Ability?”, researchers from the University of California analyzed an extensive dataset comprising 3.7 billion trades executed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. Their findings revealed that only 9.81% of day trading volume could be attributed to traders who demonstrated repeatable, predictable profitability. Furthermore, these consistently profitable traders represented less than 3% of all active participants on any given trading day.

A separate study published in the Journal of Applied Finance in 2005, titled “The Profitability of Active Stock Traders”, examined 1,146 U.S.-based brokerage accounts that actively traded equities between March and June 2000. The researchers, affiliated with the University of Oxford and University College Dublin, found that only 50% of traders generated a profit during that period, with the average net gain being $16,619.

Similarly, a 2003 study published in the Financial Analysts Journal, “The Profitability of Day Traders”, reviewed 334 active trading accounts from February 1998 to October 1999. In that sample, only 35% of accounts were profitable, and a mere 14% earned profits exceeding $10,000.

These studies collectively demonstrate the substantial difficulty of achieving long-term success in day trading. While methodologies and market conditions varied, the overall trend remains clear: a significant portion of retail traders fail to generate consistent profits. At minimum, the data implies that at least half of all day traders are unlikely to be profitable, and in many cases, the percentage is considerably lower.

These findings underscore the reality that day trading is a highly speculative and risky activity. Participants should be fully aware that trading can result in significant financial losses, including the total loss of invested capital.

The content provided is intended for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. Any mention of a specific security or market should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. All investments and trades carry risk, and decisions should be made with care and, where appropriate, with guidance from a licensed financial professional.

For full legal details, please refer to our complete disclaimer here.

Citations:

Barber, Brad; Lee, Yong-Ill; Liu, Yu-Jane; Odean, Terrance. (2014). Do Day Traders Rationally Learn About Their Ability? SSRN Electronic Journal. SSRN Electronic Journal

Garvey, Ryan; Murphy, Anthony. (2005). The Profitability of Active Stock Traders. Journal of Applied Finance, Vol. 15, No. 2. The Profitability of Active Stock Traders

Jordan, Douglas J.; Diltz, J. David. (2003). The Profitability of Day Traders. Financial Analysts Journal, 59(6), 85–94. The Profitability of Day Traders

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

| Published: 01/4/23

Education Center / Day Trading / Strategy / Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

Login or Sign up or Upgrade

Lesson Videos

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

level Level: Intermediate

level Experienced Instructor

About This Lesson

The Lightning Bolt is a trend continuation pattern where the price breaks through VWAP, retraces, and then resumes in the original direction. This pattern indicates strong momentum and can signal a continuation of the existing trend.

Downloads

  • Lightning Bolt Strategy PDF
  • TradeBook: Lightning Bolt Strategy

Presented by

Peter Donnelly

Peter, with over 25 years of experience in global business and IT, trades full-time and moderates at Bear Bull Traders, joining in 2017 after reading Andrew’s first book. Outside of trading, he's active in mental health causes, enjoys adventure sports, and has been happily married for 26 years with three grown children.

Peter Donnelly's Recent Webinars

TradeBook: Using Volume Price Analysis to Make Smarter Trading Decisions – Brendon

TradeBook: The 1-to-10 Strategy: Structuring Trades for Maximum Risk-to-Reward at the Close – Peter

Strategy 12: Failed High of Day Breakouts

Strategy 10: 1 to 10 Strategy

Strategy 6: Lightning Bolt Strategy

promo

Download a copy of the presentation in PDF format here.

Lesson Content
0% Complete 0/1 Steps
Previous Topic
Check my progress
Next Topic
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